CBC Edmonton News (TV): Re-cap of the draft weekend, Oilers mismanagement of the cap and the free agency period

cbc edmonton logoI joined host Sandra Batson on the CBC Edmonton News for my weekly segment to discuss all things Oilers. Clip is here and starts at the 17:15 mark: CBC Edmonton News (2018, June 28)

Topics we covered:

  • The Oilers draft weekend, and their latest crop of prospects including Evan Bouchard, Ryan McLeod and Olivier Rodrigue. Key thing is they kept their 10th overall pick and added to their prospect pool.
  • Expectations of Bouchard, and how he has a real chance of making the opening night roster (because Oilers).
  • Signing of Darnell Nurse and Ryan Strome, both of which received qualifying offers recently, and what to expect from them this upcoming season.
  • Free agency period and how the Oilers don’t really have the cap space to do much. We touched on the Oilers inability to manage the cap well, including some of the bloated contracts that they’ve handed out.
  • Bargain bin shopping this summer, and why someone like Tobias Rieder might be a good fit for the Oilers.

Thank you as always to the group at CBC for putting it all together!

CBC Edmonton News (TV): Re-cap of the NHL Awards, draft weekend and recent signings

cbc edmonton logoI joined Emily Fitzpatrick on the CBC Edmonton News to discuss all things Oilers. Clip is here and starts at the 16:30 mark: CBC Edmonton News (2018, June 21)

Topics we covered:

  • Re-cap of the NHL Awards in Vegas and the biggest winners (McDavid, Hall) and loser (Chiarelli). If you haven’t already, be sure to check out Jonathan’s latest at The Athletic.
  • Chiarelli’s media availability from Dallas as the Oilers get set for the draft, and the importance of keeping the 10th overall pick. Lots of good information on the draft out there including work from Brad McPherson at the Blue Bullet Report that’s worth your time.
  • The recent signings of RFA’s Drake Caggiula and Matt Benning to two-year deals. The former, I feel the Oilers overpaid, considering he was one of the worst players on the team, while the latter has a better chance of outperforming his deal.
  • Darnell Nurse’s contract situation and why the Oilers will likely have to sign him to a short-team, bridge deal.
  • Other NHL storylines to follow including Ottawa potentially trading Erik Karlsson, Milan Lucic trade rumors, Montreal’s dilemma with the third overall pick and the John Tavares issue in Long Island.

Decision-making in hockey

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One of the more interesting things for me is the “business” side of hockey, and how NHL franchises operate. I say business side pretty loosely here, considering that professional leagues don’t exactly follow standard business rules and operate more as a cartel. Teams are obviously in competition with one another, but they’re all under the NHL banner and have to abide by a lot of rules and standards, both explicit and implicit. Really, they’re just 31 different business units or divisions within the same company.

I always find it amusing when professional hockey is referred to as a business and is made to sound like some cut-throat, high-stakes industry. Because when it comes time to make decisions and trying to find an edge over the competition, most club managers become so conservative and risk averse. I get maintaining relationships and playing nice with other managers, but it’d do the game a lot of good if teams would think outside the box and demonstrate a real drive to be winners. The prime example of this are offer sheets, which fall within the rules. But teams are so reluctant to exercise their full suite of options to improve their clubs.

There’s a good reason why general managers have such a short shelf life in the NHL. And there’s a good reason why the NHL is not a global, mainstream sport.

The on-ice product isn’t good enough – and I think it’s in large part to the management teams and their lack of creativity and competitiveness that’s failing the game. The league would be much better off if managers based their roster decisions on sound logic and reasoning to make smart, calculated moves. Unfortunately, we keep seeing teams continue to make bizarre decisions, year after year, even when there’s enough publically available evidence suggesting they do otherwise.

When the product isn’t good enough, and you see the same teams continue to flounder, it’s pretty obvious that there are real systemic issues at play. And it’s not going to be a new general manager or a new coach that’s going to magically turn things around for a team. What teams really need to do is start operating like a real business, with a clear organizational mandate and a strategy that the internal people, processes and tools align with. Conduct a SWOT analysis, assess your past work, uncover your flaws and look for new opportunities. In other words – start with the mere basics.

What NHL teams really need to do is follow what baseball and football teams have been doing in teams of organizational structure and decision making processes. Two books that I would highly recommend for anyone interested:

  • The Extra 2%: How Wall Street Strategies Took a Major League Baseball Team from Worst to First (2011) – Jonah Keri
  • The Score Takes Care of Itself: My Philosophy of Leadership (2010) – Bill Walsh

What’s critical for any organization is establishing an underlying strategy and process, that encapsulates the values and approach that’s really geared towards building a winner. It’s in this stage teams have to identify what it takes to win games, and use as much information as possible to set up a structure for things to operate within. From there, you hire the right people, implement the right processes, and leverage whatever tools you have at your disposal. This is obviously easier said than done, and requires a lot of planning and resources to carry out. But if you’re an NHL owner that wants a competitive club, you have to consider taking a different approach than what’s been done.

In regards to decision-making processes, I thought what the new Hurricanes owner Tom Dundon said in March 2018 was interesting.

“I don’t know other owners, I’m assuming they have sign-off. But that’s how I look at this. Green and red you can prove, yellow is the things that are debatable. I have no interest in yellow. We have to create the structure so that we know the difference…I want to make as few decisions as possible, because we’ve created a structure that is clearer for everyone.” (Source: Sportsnet)

This makes a lot of sense if you have the right strategy and process in place. Teams should already have some basic fundamental practices and philosophies that are inherent throughout an organization. Things like how to approach free agency (i.e., don’t sign veteran players to huge contracts), how to handle the draft (i.e., pick the best player available) and how to best develop players (i.e., maximize your contracts and build a proper farm system). There has to be an acceptance that there’s a considerable amount of luck involved in hockey. And really the best you can do as a manager is stick to the process you’ve established and ice the best team possible.

As long as your strategy and process is fine, I think keeping general managers operating within a model that’s built on sound logic and reasoning reduces your chances of making a poor decision. The challenge is building that model and ensuring that there’s buy-in from all areas of the organization, especially from the coaching staff whose job is to optimize the roster the manager has built. And it’s critical that the model itself is measured and re-calibrated when more information becomes available.

 

CBC Edmonton News (TV): Previewing game five between Vegas and Washington and discussing the latest Oilers trade rumors

cbc edmonton logoI joined Adrienne Pan on the CBC Edmonton News to discuss the Stanley Cup finals and recent Oilers news. Clip is here and starts at the 16:55 mark: CBC Edmonton News (2018, June 7)

Topics we covered:

  • Re-cap of game four of the Stanley Cup Finals
  • Strengths and weaknesses of Vegas and Washington, and what to expect in game five.
  • Trade rumors involving the Oilers, including speculation about Oscar Klefbom and Milan Lucic

CBC Edmonton News (TV): Stanley Cup finals analysis, Chiarelli’s recent comments about Oilers off-season strategy

cbc edmonton logoI joined Adrienne Pan on the CBC Edmonton News to discuss the Stanley Cup finals and recent Oilers news. Clip is here and starts at the 17:45 mark: CBC Edmonton News (2018, June 1)

Topics we covered:

  • Re-cap of game two between Vegas and Washington, and what areas the Capitals improved on.
  • How the Golden Knights and Capitals have matched up statistically over the first two games, and a preview of what to expect in game three on Saturday night.
  • Peter Chiarelli’s recent comments about the Oilers off-season strategy, and why targeting a powerplay defencemen might not be very wise. We also touched on the importance of hanging on to that 10th overall pick.